After a little over two years, the yield curve is back to normal. That is to say, interest rates on longer-term bonds are once again higher than the interest rates of shorter-term bonds like two-year ...

Learn how understanding the bond yield curve's signals can inform economic forecasts and enhance your investment decisions ...

Learn to create a yield curve in Excel and understand its implications for interest rate forecasting. Follow our simple guide ...

There are a lot of recession predictors people watch: Some track imports, some track wholesale prices, some even track light truck sales and Statue of Liberty visits. But one of the most watched ...

Evercore ISI spotlighted that the last two times the yield curve between the U.S. 2 Year Treasury yield (US2Y) and the U.S. 10 Year Treasury yield (US10Y) went from being inverted to un-inverted, a ...

The yield curve has long been a closely watched indicator of economic health. When the yield curve inverts, meaning short-term interest rates exceed long-term rates, it is often seen as a harbinger of ...

The inverted yield curve is one of the more reliable recession indicators. I discussed it at length last December. At that point, we had not yet seen a full inversion. Now we have, and it appears the ...

In last week's commentary we spoke about the big bounce of the S&P 500 (SPY) that got us back in the mix of all the key trend lines (50/100/200 day moving averages). And likely we would be stuck in a ...

2024 has been a record-setting year for the market. So far this year, the S&P 500 has notched a whopping 22 record closing highs… the Dow has hit 17 record closing highs (and came within 0.5% of ...